Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Midterm Exit Polls show massive flop of Jeb Bush and other GOP E candidates being pushed for 2016. Jeb Bush No: 59%, Chris Christie No, 64%, Rick Perry No, 62%, Rand Paul No 60%-Edison Research Poll, Larry Kudlow

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11/8/14, "For 2016, Hillary Had the Worst Night," Real Clear Politics, Larry Kudlow

"Buried deep inside Tuesday's exit polls is a series of numbers on presidential contenders that will blow your mind. It's completely different from most anything you've seen in the newspapers, the Internet or on TV....

Here's a stunning question and answer from Edison Research, which interviewed 18,000 voters around the country as they left the polls on Nov. 4:

Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good president?

Yes: 42 percent. No: 52 percent.

Whether she's the frontrunner or not, a majority of midterm-election voters don't want her running the country. Does that leave the door open for other Democrats? Sure looks like it.

Does that leave the door open for a Republican? Hang on to your seats:

Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good president?
Do you think Chris Christie would make a good president?
Amazing. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who is also the chair of the Republican Governors Association, has been widely praised for quarterbacking the GOP's tremendous election performance in the states....But voters still said no to Christie.

But there's more. Hang on to your seatbelts:

Do you think Rand Paul would make a good president?
Do you think Rick Perry would make a good president?
High-profile Sen. Rand Paul, who has had successful early years in the Senate, has a strong following among libertarian-like millennials, and has a crafty way of jumping on key issues, didn't do so well either. And Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who many experts suggest has recovered from his 2012 gaffes, also got a big thumbs-down.

But here's the kicker -- my absolute favorite:

In the 2016 presidential election, for whom would you be more likely to vote?

Hillary Clinton (Dem): 24 percent. The Republican candidate: 40 percent.

That's right. The yet-to-be-named Republican beats Hillary....

At the margin, Tuesday's election has probably re-scrambled the Republican deck.

I'm sure not going to pick a winner here. But given the polling weakness of the other established candidates, and the virtual collapse of Hillary, you have to wonder....

I'm not going to go through the whole list. There are other Republican governors and senators, and at least one key policymaker in the GOP dominated House, who could be that yet-to-be-named Republican in 2016.

What's important now is that the midterm exit polls turned conventional wisdom on its head. It's not just those awful numbers for the high-visibility Republican hopefuls. But Hillary loses to an unnamed name.

To channel the great William F. Buckley Jr., get me a phone book and I'll start picking her opponents.".

"Lawrence Kudlow is host of CNBC's The Kudlow Report and co-host of The Call. He is also a former Reagan economic advisor and a syndicated columnist. Visit his blog, Kudlow's Money Politics."

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Added: Edison Research polling cited above worked on behalf of a consortium including AP:

11/5/14, "Election Results From A To Z: An Exit Poll Report," Forbes, Karlyn Bowman, Jennifer Marisco
, representatives of the National Election Pool (NEP), a consortium of five news networks and the Associated Press, ask voters leaving the polls to answer questions on a paper “ballot.” Edison Research conducts the exit poll for the consortium. Traditional polls are taken to capture the opinions and vote preference of people who vote early or absentee."...




















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